Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Lecco win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
-0.28) 
0.14) 
