Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Foggia Calcio had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Foggia Calcio win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.