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Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
3 - 1
Catanzaro

Silvestri (2'), Diaw (45+1'), Magnino (74')
Ciofani (27'), Azzi (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tentardini (59')
Gatti (80')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Modena and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cagliari 4-4 Modena (5-4 pen.)
    Thursday, December 4 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

    Catanzaro

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-0 Catanzaro
      Saturday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Modena had a probability of 22.04%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Modena win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

      Result
      ModenaDrawCatanzaro
      22.04% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.2% (0.0020000000000024 0) 52.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      Both teams to score 48.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      45.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      24.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)
      Modena Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      60.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      23.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.28%
      Catanzaro Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      79.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      46.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      Score Analysis
          Modena 22.04%
          Catanzaro 52.75%
          Draw 25.19%
      ModenaDrawCatanzaro
      1-0 @ 7.52%
      2-1 @ 5.52%
      2-0 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      3-1 @ 1.71%
      3-2 @ 1.35%
      3-0 @ 1.08%
      Other @ 1.38%
      Total : 22.04%
      		1-1 @ 11.91%
      0-0 @ 8.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      2-2 @ 4.37%
      Other @ 0.78%
      Total : 25.19%
      		0-1 @ 12.86%
      0-2 @ 10.19%
      1-2 @ 9.44%
      0-3 @ 5.38%
      1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      0-4 @ 2.13%
      1-4 @ 1.98%
      2-4 @ 0.92%
      Other @ 2.56%
      Total : 52.75%

      How you voted: Modena vs Catanzaro

      Modena
      40.0%
      Draw
      20.0%
      Catanzaro
      40.0%
      5
      rhs 2.0
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