Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena4 - 1Ternana
Diaw (23' pen.), Capuano (32' og.), Falcinelli (64'), Tremolada (68')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Favilli (50')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cosenza 2-1 Modena
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Perugia | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Modena | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sudtirol | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Reggina
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Ternana | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Brescia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
45.67% ( -0.6) | 24.1% ( -0.2) | 30.23% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% ( 1.36) | 43.32% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% ( 1.33) | 65.72% ( -1.33) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.29) | 19.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.48) | 50.8% ( -0.48) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 1.23) | 27.18% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.41% ( 1.57) | 62.59% ( -1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Modena 45.67%
Ternana 30.23%
Draw 24.09%
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.09)Other @ 3% Total : 30.23% |
