Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL5 - 0Cosenza
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Cosenza Calcio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 SPAL
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
53.15% ( 0.19) | 25.46% ( -0.08) | 21.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
