Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL5 - 0Cosenza
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Cosenza Calcio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 SPAL
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
53.15% ( 0.19) | 25.46% ( -0.08) | 21.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0.16) | 55.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.13) | 76.87% ( -0.13) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.14) | 21% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.22% ( 0.23) | 53.78% ( -0.23) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.03) | 41.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.27% ( -0.03) | 77.72% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 53.13%
Cosenza Calcio 21.39%
Draw 25.46%
| SPAL | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.13% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 21.39% |
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 6pm
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Cosenza
0-1
SPAL
Tiritiello (43'), Florenzi (71')
Feb 6, 2021 1pm
