Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari2 - 2SPAL
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and SPAL.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Perugia 1-3 Bari
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Brescia | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Bari | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Parma | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Last Game: SPAL 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Benevento | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | SPAL | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Modena | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | SPAL |
46.7% ( 1.04) | 28.05% ( -0.42) | 25.24% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 43.52% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.4% ( 0.99) | 61.6% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% ( 0.73) | 81.44% ( -0.73) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 1) | 26.48% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.33% ( 1.31) | 61.67% ( -1.31) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0) | 40.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.62% ( 0) | 77.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 46.7%
SPAL 25.24%
Draw 28.05%
| Bari | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.89% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.24% |
