Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Vicenza win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.