Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.