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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Sivas Stadium

Sivasspor
2 - 1
Yeni M'spor

Kayode (52'), Fajr (70')
Goutas (59'), Yilmaz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ozer (31')
Donsah (64')

Preview: Sivasspor vs. Yeni Malatyaspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Yeni Malatyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sivasspor will look to end a four-game winless league run when they face Yeni Malatyaspor on Sunday.

Meanwhile, the visitors find themselves propping up the Turkish Super Lig table after failing to win any of their previous 13 league games.


Match preview

Sivasspor Riza Calimbay pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

The hosts have collected two points from their previous four league matches, leaving them in 12th place in the Turkish Lig table.

Last weekend, they suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat away to Gaziantep, but an element of pride was restored in midweek as they overcame second-tier opposition to reach the quarter-final of the Turkish Cup.

In their last 16 fixture, Sivasspor travelled away to face Bandirmaspor, and it proved to be an eventful encounter, with the hosts going down to 10 men in the first half, while a Max Gradel hat-trick and an Aaron Appidangoye strike helped the visitors clinch a 4-2 victory.

Sivasspor will now turn their attention back to league action, and although they have only lost once at home this season, Riza Calimbay's side have struggled to convert draws into victories at home.

As for Yeni Malatyaspor, they sit rock bottom of the Turkish Super Lig table, and with 15 games left to play, they are 10 points adrift of safety.

In their most recent fixture, they travelled to the Ataturk Olympic Stadium to face Fatih Karagumruk, where a Salih Dursun goal proved enough to give condemn Yeni Malatyaspor to 1-0 defeat.

As a result of that loss, Marius Sumudica was relieved of his managerial duties and was replaced by Adem Buyuk, who has taken up a player-manager role.

Buyuk's task is a tricky one with Sunday's visitors struggling at either end of the pitch as they currently hold the second worse defensive record in the league, while they also possess the worst goalscoring record (18) in the Turkish Super Lig this season.

Goals have been particularly hard to come by on the road, with Yeni Malatyaspor netting on just three occasions away from home in the league this season, and if they are to beat the drop, they need to start finding the net on a consistent basis.

Sivasspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Sivasspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Yeni Malatyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Yeni Malatyaspor form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

The hosts are likely to be without the services of Ahmet Oguz and Hakan Arslan due to injury issues.

After being sent off last weekend, Mustafa Yatabare will miss Sunday's game through suspension, while Isaac Cofie is also banned due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Gradel was introduced at half time last weekend, but after scoring a hat-trick in the cup in midweek, the Ivory Coast international is expected to start Sunday's encounter.

Meanwhile, Stephen Mallan and Benjamin Tetteh are both absent for Yeni Malatyaspor due to injury problems.

Gaston Campi made his debut for the visitors last weekend and the 30-year-old will start Sunday's encounter alongside Sadik Ciftpinar in the centre of defence.

Buyuk may resist the temptation to bring himself into the starting lineup, with the Yeni Malatyaspor boss expected to be among the substitutes.

Sivasspor possible starting lineup:
Vural; Altinay, Osmanpasa, Goutas, Ciftci; Yesilyurt, Fajr, Felix, Kesgin, Henrique; Kayode

Yeni Malatyaspor possible starting lineup:
Ozbir; Zeffane, Ciftpinar, Campi, Hafez; Aabid, Azubuike, Donsah; Eskihellac, Chouiar, Dicko


SM words green background

We say: Sivasspor 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor

Although there has been a change in the Yeni Malatyaspor dugout, we think that the visitors will be unable to trouble their hosts on Sunday, with Sivasspor looking to extend their unbeaten home run to 12 league games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.07%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sivasspor in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sivasspor.


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Game History

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Yeni M'spor

Sivasspor
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.0%
10
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