Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.