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Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Brest logo

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Brest

Prcic (24'), Duverne (42' og.), Thomasson (84')
Fila (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)

Preview: Strasbourg vs. Brest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Strasbourg and Brest will both go in search of their first wins of the season when they meet in Ligue 1 on Sunday.

After three games each, the Coureurs sit bottom of the table on one point, while the Pirates are 13th with two points.


Match preview

Strasbourg players celebrate against Paris Saint-Germain on August 14, 2021© Reuters

These two teams both narrowly avoided relegation last season, with Strasbourg finishing just two points above the bottom three and Brest only one.

The opening weeks of the new campaign suggest that little has changed in their fortunes, despite both clubs changing managers over the summer.

After Thierry Laurey's five-year stint at Strasbourg came to an end, former Rennes manager Julien Stephan was appointed at the Stade de la Meinau.

The Alsace outfit lost 2-0 to Angers on the opening day before Paris Saint-Germain beat them 4-2. Their first point arrived in a 1-1 draw with newly-promoted Troyes last weekend as Adrien Thomasson netted an equaliser 13 minutes from time.

The Coureurs have only won one of their last 11 home matches, but will hope the visit of another winless side can turn their fortunes around.

Montpellier boss Michel Der Zakarian pictured in March 2019© Reuters

Brest have not won on their last five trips to the Stade de la Meinau, and in this fixture last season, Jeremy Le Douaron scored a 94th-minute equaliser for the Brittany outfit in a 2-2 draw.

The Pirates' poor start to the season can be caveated with the fact that the three sides they have played so far all finished in last season's top six: after 1-1 draws against Lyon and Rennes, they lost 4-2 at home to PSG last weekend.

Armenian Michel Der Zakarian is the new man at the helm, joining from Montpellier as Olivier Dall'Oglio went in the other direction to Occitanie.

Brest picked up just three wins in 19 away matches last season and have kept only two clean sheets in their last 16 games.

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • L
  • D

Brest Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Rennes head coach Julien Stephan pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Strasbourg centre-back Alexander Djiku is available for selection again after being suspended for the game against Troyes last weekend.

The club's defensive ranks have been bolstered this week by the signing of Maxime Le Marchand from Fulham, who could make his debut.

Jean-Eudes Aholou was forced off injured against PSG and did not feature against Troyes, making him a doubt for this match.

Romain Faivre got the assist for both of Brest's goals against PSG last weekend, so he will be the main source of creativity for the visitors.

Michel Der Zakarian is still without Paul Lasne, Christophe Herelle and Sebastien Cibois because of injury.

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Sels; Fila, Perrin, Le Marchand, Djiku, Lienard; Thomasson, Prcic, Bellegarde; Ajorque, Gameiro

Brest possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Pierre-Gabriel, Chardonnet, Brassier, Uronen; Belkebla, M'Bock; Honorat, Faivre, Cardona; Mounie


SM words green background

We say: Strasbourg 1-2 Brest

Both of these teams will view this game as a big opportunity to get their first three points on the board, but we think it will be Brest who will emerge victorious. The visitors have been dealt a tough hand with their fixtures so far, but have shown signs that they are capable of improving upon last season.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Brest

Strasbourg
40.7%
Draw
40.7%
Brest
18.5%
27
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Angel Di Maria pictured for Paris Saint-Germain in August 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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