We said: Adana Demirspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk
Both teams enter this fixture on the back of defeats in midweek, but Adana Demirspor have been in better overall form in the last couple of weeks, giving them the advantage this weekend.
Adana's home record is strong this season, only losing twice in 10 matches, while conceding just six goals in that time, which is why they are likely to keep a clean sheet on Saturday, then needing just one goal themselves.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
