Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
