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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Besiktas

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Besiktas

Ozdoyev (49')
Biraschi (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tosun (33')
Fernandes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-0 Alanyaspor
Friday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-3 Besiktas

Given that both teams have scored at least two goals in six of Karagumruk's past eight Super Lig games, this is destined to be a high-scoring affair between two resurgent teams. The hosts have drawn each of their last three league matches, while Besiktas have won each of their previous five, so the Black Eagles are likely to claim all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
29.02% (0.312 0.31) 22.84% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 48.14% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 62.57% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (0.584 0.58)38.11% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (0.621 0.62)60.37% (-0.624 -0.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.5 0.5)25.36% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.682 0.68)60.15% (-0.686 -0.69)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.131 0.13)16.16% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.241 0.24)45.62% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 29.02%
    Besiktas 48.14%
    Draw 22.83%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.02%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.14%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Besiktas

Fatih Karagumruk
12.2%
Draw
22.0%
Besiktas
65.9%
41
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Besiktas
4-1
Karagumruk
Weghorst (17'), N'Koudou (34'), Muleka (50'), Rosier (90')
Muleka (40'), Vardar (42'), Ucan (67')
Diagne (53')
Ozdoyev (7'), Diagne (43'), Erkin (90+2')
Jan 18, 2022 5pm
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Besiktas
1-0
Karagumruk
Teixeira (30')
Ucan (36'), Destanoglu (90+4')
Ucan (48')

Oztumer (14'), Durmaz (16'), Zukanovic (42'), Tatli (61')
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
Besiktas
1-2
Karagumruk
Bertolacci (39'), Ghezzal (54'), Borini (80')
Ghezzal (44'), Bertolacci (46'), Zukanovic (56'), Borini (61'), Welinton (64'), Ndao (85'), Ahmetoglu (90+2'), Castro (90+3')
Zukanovic (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5BesiktasBesiktas177642619727
6EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul166552723423
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor175661820-221
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor176381726-921
12KasimpasaKasimpasa164842223-120
13KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
15SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor161691427-139
19Adana Demirspor1622121536-215


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