We said: Kasimpasa 2-2 Fatih Karagumruk
Kasimpasa put up a good fight against Besiktas in their last outing and won convincingly in their last game on home soil, so they will not make it easy.
Karagumruk's focus on attack leaves them vulnerable defensively, but they have the firepower up front in the likes of Borini and Mbaye Diagne to cause big problems.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.