Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.