Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.