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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Giresun Atatürk Stadyumu

Giresunspor
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Bajic (20' pen.), Sainz (39')
Bilazer (45+2'), Can Genc (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mercan (45'), Borini (57' pen.)
Baniya (53'), Ricci (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Giresunspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 0-0 Giresunspor
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-3 Sivasspor
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Giresunspor 1-3 Fatih Karagumruk

Given that Fatih Karagumruk have scored at least two goals in 12 of their previous 15 league games – netting more than two goals on eight occasions during that period – the visitors look set to record another high-scoring victory. While Karagumruk have avoided defeat in each of their last eight Super Lig outings, Giresunspor have failed to win any of their previous eight, so the hosts are not expected to spark a revival on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Giresunspor win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Giresunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
GiresunsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
42.36% (-0.493 -0.49) 23.89% (0.104 0.1) 33.74% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Both teams to score 61.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (-0.373 -0.37)40.92% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (-0.382 -0.38)63.31% (0.381 0.38)
Giresunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.369 -0.37)19.58% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.49% (-0.603 -0.6)51.51% (0.60100000000001 0.6)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.87% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.064999999999998 0.06)58.07% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Giresunspor 42.36%
    Fatih Karagumruk 33.74%
    Draw 23.88%
GiresunsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.74%

How you voted: Giresunspor vs Karagumruk

Giresunspor
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Fatih Karagumruk
77.3%
22
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 6pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Giresunspor
Diagne (90+2')
Colley (25')
Bajic (75')
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Karagumruk
2-1
Giresunspor
Pesic (52' pen.), Durmaz (65')
Bekaroglu (42')
Durmaz (78')
Chiquinho (48' pen.)
Dec 5, 2021 1pm
Giresunspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Balde (69'), Doukara (83', 88' pen.)
Flavio (50')
Pesic (28')
Torun (87')
rhs 2.0
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray76102381519
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4BesiktasBesiktas5410114713
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6EyupsporEyupspor7331128412
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9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor61506518
10KonyasporKonyaspor7223810-28
11SivassporSivasspor722368-28
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor6222912-38
13KasimpasaKasimpasa7142911-27
14Bodrumspor620459-46
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