MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 22:17:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
4 - 3
Sivasspor

Diagne (45+4', 53', 80'), Ozdoyev (69')
Borini (34'), Bertolacci (73'), Ricci (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caicedo (27'), James (90+1', 90+6')
Goutas (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Besiktas
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Sivasspor

Karagumruk have not kept a clean sheet at the Vefa Stadium in their last five Super Lig games, and that run is expected to continue against this weekend's opponents, who have scored in five successive away fixtures. With Pirlo's men possessing more firepower up front, they should edge proceedings with both sides finding the back of the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
46.83% (0.353 0.35) 24.19% (0.15 0.15) 28.97% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.859 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (-0.983 -0.98)44.44% (0.977 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.959 -0.96)66.81% (0.952 0.95)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.245 -0.25)19.11% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-0.405 -0.41)50.74% (0.4 0.4)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.846 -0.85)28.6% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-1.07 -1.07)64.4% (1.066 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 46.83%
    Sivasspor 28.97%
    Draw 24.19%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.311 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Sivasspor

Fatih Karagumruk
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Sivasspor
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Karagumruk
1-0
Sivasspor
Borini (68' pen.)
Durmaz (87'), Bekaroglu (90+1')

Cofie (44'), Ciftci (67'), Gradel (90'), Atakan Kesgin (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 11.30am
Sivasspor
4-0
Karagumruk
Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')

Zukanovic (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 10.30am
Nov 21, 2020 10.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Sivasspor
Sabo (86')
Biglia (32'), Ndao (78'), Altinay (90+2'), Sabo (90+6')
Kone (44')
Camara (45+1'), Cofie (83'), Samassa (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray17152049202947
2Fenerbahce17123242162639
3Samsunspor17103431181333
4EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK178453223928
6BesiktasBesiktas177642619727
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul177552823526
8GaziantepGaziantep176472426-222
9KasimpasaKasimpasa174942425-121
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor175661820-221
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor176381726-921
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor176382132-1121
13KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor174762524119
15SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
16KayserisporKayserispor173771733-1616
17Bodrumspor1743101323-1015
18Hatayspor1716101529-149
19Adana Demirspor1722131537-225


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!