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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Saglam (69'), Dadasov (90')
Sinik (5'), Corekci (53'), Ghoulam (74'), Kardesler (81'), Demir (90+1'), Pedro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Macheda (84')
Belozoglu (0'), Cankaya (35'), Macheda (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Alanyaspor
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-2 Ankaragucu

Although Pulat's side drew their last league game and ended a run of four successive losses, Hatayspor's recent form is still poor. Ankaragucu's away record is far from perfect, but they will likely be buoyed by the fact that victory at the Mersin Stadium would make them strong favourites for survival with just two games remaining. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
39.16% (0.055 0.05) 25.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 35.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)49.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)71.35% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)27.07% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)62.44% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 39.16%
    Ankaragucu 35.06%
    Draw 25.77%
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Ankaragucu
0-0
Hatayspor
Saglam (45+1'), Rivas (71')
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Ankaragucu
4-1
Hatayspor
Beridze (3'), Antalyali (61'), Sowe (69'), Diack (90+2')
El Kaabi (86' pen.)
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Hatayspor
4-1
Ankaragucu
Biram Diouf (45', 55' pen.), David (65' pen., 74')
Sackey (90+1')
Borven (16')
Kitsiou (43'), Akdag (80')
Paintsil (45+6')
Dec 15, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ankaragucu
2-0
Hatayspor
Sarlija (69'), Paintsil (89')
Pinto (35'), Aygoren (54'), Sarlija (86')

Biram Diouf (11'), Boupendza (85'), Ribeiro (90+1')
Karadeniz (50')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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