Samsunspor may be five points better off than Konyaspor, but they have lost 13 of their 18 away games, and we think that Konyaspor could take advantage of their opponents' poor away record to claim a narrow victory in Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.

Result
Konyaspor	Draw	Samsunspor
41.97% ( 0.07)	26.63% ( -0.02)	31.4% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.33% (

0.07)

53.68% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84% (

0.06)

75.17% (

-0.06)

Konyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

0.07)

25.27% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97% (

0.09)

60.03% (

-0.09)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.41% (

0.01)

31.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32% (

68% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Konyaspor 41.97%

Samsunspor 31.4%

Draw 26.62%

Konyaspor	Draw	Samsunspor
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.97%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.4%