MX23RW : Friday, November 22 01:13:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
1 - 0
Karagumruk

Kara (84')
Mouandilmadji (16'), Antalyali (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eysseric (24'), Keles (64'), Biraschi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-1 Samsunspor
Monday, December 25 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-3 Gaziantep
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Both teams have struggled for goals so far, and we are anticipating a low-scoring affair here. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to secure maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
58.66% (0.712 0.71) 21.98% (-0.195 -0.19) 19.35% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 53.93% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (0.121 0.12)44.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.118 0.12)66.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.27 0.27)14.76% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (0.516 0.52)43% (-0.518 -0.52)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (-0.473 -0.47)36.72% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.476 -0.48)73.51% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 58.66%
    Fatih Karagumruk 19.35%
    Draw 21.98%
SamsunsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.66%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.43% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.35%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Karagumruk

Samsunspor
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Fatih Karagumruk
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!