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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
4 - 2
Kasimpasa

Mouandilmadji (11', 22'), Kilinc (60'), Ntcham (75')
Ntcham (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ozcan (90+1'), da Costa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-3 Samsunspor
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 4-2 Gaziantep
Sunday, December 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Kasimpasa

Samsunspor looks like a team that have found their groove back in recent games and they could cause Kasimpasa some problems this weekend. The visitors have struggled on their recent trips and this could play a part in the final result on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawKasimpasa
58.2% (0.128 0.13) 21.83% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 19.97% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)42.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.060000000000002 0.06)65.09% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.060999999999993 0.06)14.38% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.117 0.12)42.27% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)35.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.94% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 58.2%
    Kasimpasa 19.97%
    Draw 21.83%
SamsunsporDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa

Samsunspor
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Kasimpasa
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Samsunspor1181222101225
3Fenerbahce107212391423
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor113261222-1011
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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