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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
2 - 0
Samsunspor

Bekiroglu (71'), Sowe (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Drongelen (54'), Celik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-0 Istanbul
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 1-0 Samsunspor

Samsunspor's start to the campaign has been less than ideal, and this weekend's clash is unlikely to provide them with a reprieve. We are backing the hosts to come away with all three points, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawSamsunspor
38.56% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.81% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 35.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 54.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-0.24 -0.24)49.38% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.216 -0.22)71.42% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.14 -0.14)25.12% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.192 -0.19)59.82% (0.191 0.19)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.116 -0.12)26.77% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-0.152 -0.15)62.05% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 38.56%
    Samsunspor 35.63%
    Draw 25.8%
AnkaragucuDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.63%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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