Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Basel2 - 0Lugano
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Lugano |
48.26% ( -0.31) | 23.39% ( 0.14) | 28.35% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.52) | 41.13% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.53) | 63.53% ( 0.53) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.32) | 17.26% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.56) | 47.58% ( 0.56) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( -0.14) | 27.34% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.19) | 62.8% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Basel 48.26%
Lugano 28.35%
Draw 23.39%
| Basel | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.99% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.35% |
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2025 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
