Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Winterthur 1-3 Basel
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 0-0 Grasshopper
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Lugano |
40.95% ( 1.77) | 23.02% ( -0.15) | 36.03% ( -1.62) |
Both teams to score 65.06% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.86% ( 0.6) | 36.14% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.75% ( 0.65) | 58.25% ( -0.65) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( 1.03) | 18.2% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.78% ( 1.73) | 49.21% ( -1.73) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.52) | 20.46% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.83) | 52.92% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Basel 40.95%
Lugano 36.03%
Draw 23.02%
Basel | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.03% |
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-28 22:40:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Servette | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
2 | FC Zurich | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
3 | Luzern | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
4 | LuganoLugano | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | St GallenSt Gallen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
6 | Sion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Basel | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
8 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
9 | Yverdon Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
10 | Lausanne SportLausanne | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 |
11 | Young Boys | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 6 |
12 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
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