Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Basel1 - 2Lugano
We said: Basel 2-2 Lugano
Still licking their wounds from last Tuesday's narrow defeat, Lugano will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result ahead of next week's second-leg clash with Fenerbahce. However, Basel have proven tough to crack at home and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Lugano |
42.84% ( -0) | 24.03% ( 0.01) | 33.13% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
