Basel

3 - 1

Servette

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.