Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 1-0 Servette
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
28.43% ( 0.15) | 24.07% ( 0.05) | 47.5% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
