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Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 4
Aug 7, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Luzern

Lugano
1 - 2
Luzern

Ziegler (75')
Celar (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dorn (32'), Beloko (84')
Muller (45+1'), Emini (47'), Simani (74'), Frydek Jr (90+6')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
36.42% (0.611 0.61) 25.19% (0.163 0.16) 38.39% (-0.773 -0.77)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.518 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.692 -0.69)46.55% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.652 -0.65)68.82% (0.654 0.65)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)23.93% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-1.025 -1.03)58.15% (1.026 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 36.42%
    Luzern 38.39%
    Draw 25.18%
LuganoDrawLuzern
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.244 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.42%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.39%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 1.15pm
Luzern
2-2
Lugano
Ugrinic (59'), Kvasina (86')
Simani (50'), Frydek Jr (53'), Wehrmann (83'), Tasar (90')
Celar (38', 56')
Celar (50'), Saipi (85'), Lavanchy (90+4')
Feb 6, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
2-1
Luzern
Lavanchy (20'), Haile-Selassie (83')
Sabbatini (89')
Drager (45+1')
Cumic (14'), Drager (46')
Nov 21, 2021 3.30pm
Lugano
3-1
Luzern
Ziegler (4'), El Amine Amoura (35'), Maric (45+2' pen.)
Sabbatini (67')
Sorgic (10')
Muller (4'), N'Diaye (57'), Schulz (75')
Sep 26, 2021 1.15pm
Luzern
2-3
Lugano
Ugrinic (21'), Sorgic (72' pen.)
Ugrinic (30')
Abubakar (3'), Celar (35'), Bottani (45')
Bottani (28'), Lovric (39'), Hajrizi (63'), Daprela (71'), Lavanchy (87'), Osigwe (90')
May 21, 2021 7.30pm
Luzern
1-2
Lugano
Sorgic (78' pen.)
Ugrinic (42')
Oss (31'), Opara (57')
Lungoyi (48'), Guidotti (73'), Oss (77'), Sabbatini (90+1')
Oss (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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