Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Basel had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Basel win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.