Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leca win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Paredes had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Paredes win it was 0-1 (8.72%).