Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amarante win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Paredes had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amarante win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Paredes win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amarante would win this match.