Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cidade Desportiva De Paredes

Paredes
0 - 2
Amarante

Lucky (60')
Cassio (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tokinho (28'), Filipe (59')
Ferreira (32'), Campos (40'), Abreu (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Paredes and Amarante.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paredes

Last Game: Paredes 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Amarante

Last Game: Amarante 1-0 Academica
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amarante win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Paredes had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amarante win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Paredes win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amarante would win this match.

Result
Paredes	Draw	Amarante
30.39% ( -0.06)	30.01% ( 0)	39.59% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 41.38% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.34% (

-0.02)

65.66% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.65% (

-0.02)

84.35% (

0.01)

Paredes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-0.06)

38.76% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

-0.06)

75.5% (

0.06)

Amarante Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

0.02)

32.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

0.03)

68.93% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Paredes 30.38%

Amarante 39.59%

Draw 30.01%

Paredes	Draw	Amarante
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 30.38%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.01%	0-1 @ 14.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.59%