Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Paredes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.19%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Paredes win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Paredes	Draw	Moreirense
12.97% ( -0.1)	20.74% ( -0.12)	66.29% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

0.27)

50.38% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

0.24)

72.32% (

-0.23)

Paredes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.22% (

48.78% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.2% (

83.79% (

-0)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

0.15)

14.36% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.77% (

0.3)

42.23% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Paredes 12.97%

Moreirense 66.29%

Draw 20.74%

Paredes	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.97%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.74%	0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 66.29%