Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Olimpik Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.