Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Sep 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Parque Maracaná
Cerrito1 - 2Defensor
Demarco (84')
Perujo (62'), Acevedo (64'), Sastre (90+1')
Perujo (62'), Acevedo (64'), Sastre (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sastre (54' og.), Sant'Anna (60')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Cerrito
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Defensor
Tuesday, September 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, September 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerrito | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
10.44% ( 1.05) | 19.76% ( 0.27) | 69.8% ( -1.32) |
Both teams to score 39.18% ( 2.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.66% ( 1.63) | 52.33% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.97% ( 1.39) | 74.02% ( -1.39) |
Cerrito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.51% ( 3.17) | 54.49% ( -3.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.42% ( 1.83) | 87.57% ( -1.83) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.1% ( 0.11) | 13.9% ( -0.11) |