Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Aug 28, 2022 at 7pm UK

Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi

Plaza Colonia
0 - 1
Defensor

Ebere (45+2'), Perez (83'), Dibble (90+3'), Guzman (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Navarro (65')
de los Santos (31'), Rossi (82'), Balboa (83'), Scotto (90+3')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Defensor Sporting
30.23% ( -0.21)	29.55% ( -0.02)	40.22% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 42.5% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.72% (

0.01)

64.27% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.62% (

0.01)

83.38% (

-0.01)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

-0.16)

38.1% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13% (

-0.15)

74.87% (

0.15)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

0.15)

31.32% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

0.17)

67.68% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 30.22%

Defensor Sporting 40.21%

Draw 29.53%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 30.22%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.53%	0-1 @ 13.85% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.21%