Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo2 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Torque
Friday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro Largo | Draw | River Plate |
30.96% ( 0.05) | 25.89% ( 0.02) | 43.15% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.27% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% ( -0.08) | 50.82% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( -0.07) | 72.7% ( 0.07) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -0.01) | 30.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.34% ( -0.01) | 66.66% ( 0.01) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% ( -0.07) | 23.41% ( 0.07) |