Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
La Luz	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
29.34% ( -0.43)	28.32% ( 0.08)	42.35% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.45% (

-0.41)

60.55% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

-0.31)

80.66% (

0.31)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

-0.56)

36.76% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-0.57)

73.55% (

0.57)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

-0)

28.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

-0)

63.98% (

Score Analysis

La Luz 29.34%

Montevideo City Torque 42.34%

Draw 28.31%

La Luz	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.34%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.34%