Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Danubio
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Bahia
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, April 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
9
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
48.01% ( -0.31) | 26.46% ( 0.13) | 25.54% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( -0.34) | 55.91% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( -0.28) | 77.02% ( 0.28) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( -0.28) | 23.32% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.42) | 57.27% ( 0.42) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.03) | 37.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.86% ( -0.03) | 74.14% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 48.01%
Danubio 25.54%
Draw 26.45%
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.54% |
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2024 12.15am
Jul 13, 2024 7pm
May 25, 2024 10pm
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Danubio
0-0
Nacional
Form Guide
