MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:30:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 9pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 3
River Plate

Martin Villalba Jaume (19'), Lopez (35', 57')
Martin Villalba Jaume (22'), Martin Villalba Jaume (38'), Recoba (59'), Lopez (82'), Lopez (82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cruz De los Santos (6' pen.), Alessio Lopez Pose (32'), Almeida (69')
Cruz De los Santos (13'), Nicolas Jourdan Bellion (56'), Alessio Lopez Pose (74'), Andres Frascarelli Gutierrez (81'), Correa (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston River 2-3 Nacional
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Penarol
Monday, February 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
62.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 22.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 14.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.98% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)50.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)84.85% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 62.77%
    River Plate 14.27%
    Draw 22.95%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 15.33%
2-0 @ 13.36%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.34%
4-0 @ 3.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 62.77%
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 14.27%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
River Plate
3-3
Nacional
Lavega (32' pen.), Rodriguez (45+3' og.), Zeballos (90+3')
Rodriguez (59'), Zeballos (90+4')
Galeano (6'), Lopez (60' pen.), Rodriguez (90+7')
Lozano (14'), Martinez (68'), Petit Abad (80')
Feb 16, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Nacional
2-1
River Plate
Antoni (83'), Carneiro (87')
Polenta (53'), Izquierdo (65'), Carneiro (90+4')
Lavega (90+2')
Diaz (75'), Lavega (89')
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 8
River Plate
0-3
Nacional

Kidd (41'), Gargano (70'), Viera (88'), Cruz De los Santos (90+1')
Ramirez (23'), Bocanegra (49'), Carneiro (67')
Mar 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 8
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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