Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 at 9pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional3 - 3River Plate
Martin Villalba Jaume (19'), Lopez (35', 57')
Martin Villalba Jaume (22'), Martin Villalba Jaume (38'), Recoba (59'), Lopez (82'), Lopez (82')
Martin Villalba Jaume (22'), Martin Villalba Jaume (38'), Recoba (59'), Lopez (82'), Lopez (82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cruz De los Santos (6' pen.), Alessio Lopez Pose (32'), Almeida (69')
Cruz De los Santos (13'), Nicolas Jourdan Bellion (56'), Alessio Lopez Pose (74'), Andres Frascarelli Gutierrez (81'), Correa (87')
Cruz De los Santos (13'), Nicolas Jourdan Bellion (56'), Alessio Lopez Pose (74'), Andres Frascarelli Gutierrez (81'), Correa (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boston River 2-3 Nacional
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
9
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Penarol
Monday, February 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, February 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | River Plate |
62.77% (![]() | 22.95% (![]() | 14.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% (![]() | 56.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% (![]() | 77.22% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% (![]() | 17.49% (![]() |