Nacional2 - 0Torque
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
41.68% | 28.28% | 30.03% |
Both teams to score 45.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.78% | 60.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.59% | 80.4% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% | 28.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% | 64.24% |
Montevideo City Torque Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% | 36.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
1-0 @ 12.88% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.03% |
Brun (42'), Rak (50'), Teuten (89'), Neira (94')
Castellanos (39'), Brun (44'), Pereira (50'), Bonjour (65'), Ezquerra (80')