Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Aug 14, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol1 - 0Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Progreso.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Progreso |
| 61.26% | 22.3% | 16.44% |
| Both teams to score 47.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% | 72.09% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% | 15.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.87% | 45.12% |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.38% | 43.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.19% | 79.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Penarol 61.26%
Progreso 16.44%
Draw 22.29%
| Penarol | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.48% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.01% Total : 61.26% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.58% Total : 16.44% |
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-2
Penarol
Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (52'), Loffreda (89')
Kagelmacher (45+2'), A (59')
Oct 6, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
2-1
Progreso
Alles (84' pen.)
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
Nov 27, 2019 8pm
May 26, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
2-2
Progreso
Riquero (23', 40')
Sosa (42'), Castillo (66'), Alles (84'), Riquero (95')
Sosa (42'), Castillo (66'), Alles (84'), Riquero (95')
Form Guide
