Penarol
1 - 0
Progreso

Alvarez (81')
Nahuelpan (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barboza (14'), Bentaberry (34'), Arias (62'), Ferreira (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Progreso
61.26%	22.3%	16.44%

Both teams to score 47.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91%

72.09%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11%

15.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.87%

45.12%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.38%

43.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.19%

79.81%

Score Analysis

Penarol 61.26%

Progreso 16.44%

Draw 22.29%

Penarol	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.48% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.01% Total : 61.26%	1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.58% Total : 16.44%