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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 24, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Mestalla
Alaves logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Alaves

Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')

Preview: Valencia vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia will be looking to end a run of four La Liga games without a victory when they continue their domestic campaign at home to Alaves on Saturday evening.

Los Che, who suffered a 3-1 defeat at Osasuna on Wednesday, are currently 14th in the table, eight points clear of the relegation zone, while Alaves occupy 16th position in Spain's top flight.


Match preview

Valencia forward Goncalo Guedes pictured on February 14, 2021© Reuters

Valencia have not finished lower than 12th in Spain's top flight since the 1987-88 campaign, but they are currently 14th in the table, having picked up just 35 points from 32 matches.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a desperately disappointing season for Los Che, who are only eight points clear of the relegation zone.

Unless something drastic happens, Javi Gracia's side are not going to be relegated, but they are currently on a run of four matches without a victory, including a 3-1 loss at Osasuna on Wednesday evening.

The six-time Spanish champions are only four points behind ninth-placed Granada and have been relatively strong on home soil this term, picking up 24 points from 15 games while suffering just three defeats.

Valencia also recorded a 2-1 win when the pair last met at Mestalla in October 2019, but the last two league matches between the two sides have finished level, including a 2-2 draw earlier this season.

Alaves' Luis Rioja celebrates scoring their first goal on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Alaves, meanwhile, will enter this weekend's contest off the back of successive victories over Huesca and Villarreal, which have moved them out of the relegation zone.

The Basque outfit are currently 16th in the table, three points clear of the bottom three, and another win this weekend would give their hopes of survival a huge boost.

Alaves have only lost two of their last six in Spain's top flight, but they have found it difficult on their travels this term, winning just twice, collecting only 10 points from 15 matches, which is the second-worst record in the division.

El Glorioso sacked Abelardo Fernandez earlier this month after slipping to the bottom of the table, but new head coach Javier Calleja has made a strong start to his reign, and the 42-year-old, who has previously been in charge of Villarreal, will be looking to make it four league games unbeaten this weekend.

Valencia La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Alaves La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Valencia boss Javi Gracia celebrates with Uros Racic in January 2021© Reuters

Valencia will again be without the services of Thierry Correia this weekend through injury, meaning that there could be a start for Daniel Wass at right-back, while Dutch goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen is still absent.

Los Che are hopeful that Carlos Soler will shake off a knock in time for the contest, and Gracia's squad will also be boosted by the return of Maxi Gomez, who served a suspension against Osasuna.

Yunus Musah could again be handed a start on the right, while Denis Cheryshev and Goncalo Guedes should also feature in attacking positions for the home team.

As for Alaves, Rodrigo Ely, Ruben Duarte and Inigo Cordoba are all out of the contest through injury.

Head coach Calleja could ultimately decide to select the same side that started Wednesday's impressive victory over Villarreal, where Joselu and Edgar Mendez were both on the scoresheet.

Lucas Perez should again join Joselu in the final third of the field, while Tomas Pina and Rodrigo Battaglia are expected to continue in the middle of the park for the in-form visitors.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Domenech; Wass, Paulista, Diakhaby, Gaya; Musah, Soler, Racic, Cheryshev; Gomez, Guedes

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Lejeune, Aguirregabiria; Jota, Battaglia, Pina, Rioja; Perez, Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 2-2 Alaves

Valencia, despite their troubles this term, have a squad full of talent, one which is capable of triumphing in any match at this level of football. Alaves have been impressive under their new head coach, though, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils at Mestalla.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Alaves

Valencia
58.8%
Draw
29.4%
Alaves
11.8%
68
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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