MX23RW : Friday, October 4 06:00:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Airbus UK

Ismail (20'), Walker (23')
Jones (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Eyre (84')
Crowther (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-1 Newtown
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-4 Pontypridd
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAirbus UK Broughton
40.88% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 25.28% (-0.163 -0.16) 33.84% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.33% (0.631 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.783 0.78)47.31% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.723 0.72)69.53% (-0.726 -0.73)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.298 0.3)23% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.438 0.44)56.79% (-0.441 -0.44)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.53399999999999 0.53)26.85% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.698 0.7)62.16% (-0.702 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 40.88%
    Airbus UK Broughton 33.84%
    Draw 25.27%
Newtown AFCDrawAirbus UK Broughton
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.84%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Airbus UK
4-4
Newtown
Payne (22'), Tomassen (32'), Dabo (58'), Phillips (68')
Curran (20')
Williams (12', 45+5'), Rushton (56'), Jones (90')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Newtown
0-0
Airbus UK

Roberts (5'), Platt (45')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
Airbus UK
2-0
Newtown
Owens (6', 65')
Tomassen (64')

Fletcher (22'), McAllister (42')
rhs 2.0
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