MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:32:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Newtown

Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35'), Holmes (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Williams (82')
Ismail (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
56.96% (-1.388 -1.39) 23.54% (0.434 0.43) 19.5% (0.953 0.95)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.449 -0.45)50.57% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (-0.399 -0.4)72.49% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)17.55% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-1.154 -1.15)48.08% (1.154 1.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (0.811 0.81)40.23% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.729 0.73)76.86% (-0.729 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 56.95%
    Newtown AFC 19.5%
    Draw 23.53%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.95%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-2
Newtown

Eardley (43'), Morris (61'), Holmes (90')
Sutton (25'), Holmes (45+1' og.)
Williams (56'), Mwandwe (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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