MX23RW : Friday, January 24 14:31:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
Cardiff MU


Sears (43'), Mills-Evans (90+5'), Rushton (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rees (42')
Baker (74'), Price (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-4 Newtown
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff MU in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
30.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 26.34% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.17 -0.17)52.85% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.144 -0.14)74.47% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)31.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)68.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)24.29% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.167 -0.17)58.66% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.47%
    Cardiff MU 43.17%
    Draw 26.33%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
4-1
Cardiff MU
Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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