Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.