Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
47.31% | 24.28% | 28.4% |
Both teams to score 57.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.8% | 45.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% | 19.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% | 50.91% |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.37% |
Score Analysis |
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.4% |
Fawcett (25')
Davies (33'), Harling (77')