Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.
